The Chinese Potential for Increasing Its Birth Rate. We too.
"Low birth rates will end civilization." Elon Musk
Every nation in the developed world, except for Israel, is experiencing a demographic crisis of too few children being born. And this is by far the greatest existential threat facing these nations. In western Europe, and much of the USA, any mention of pro-natalist ideas to boost births will be met with screams from the left of racism or wanting to set back women's rights. However, there is one nation that might be in a unique position to raise its birthrates and that nation? China.
85% of China is Han Chinese, thus it would be hard for anyone in China to protest pro-natalist policies by throwing around the accusation of racism. Of course there are two major problems that have crushed the Chinese birthrate and they are:
1) The rising economic expectations of the young. Marriage and family are seen as secondary goals as opposed to working hard, getting well-off and then, maybe, focusing on making a family.
2) One of the major variables in how many children a woman will want to have is how many children her mother had. Come from a family of four children? You will often see that as the ideal, come from a family of one, and that is generally what you perceive as the ideal. Almost all Chinese women of fertile age today came from only-child backgrounds. It became an institutionalized norm. That is hard to overcome.
So is all hopeless for them? Not really, in fact it may be that China might be able to increase its birthrate more effectively than the western nations. Here is how:
1) Chinese still revere the family. So use strategies in reverse of what population reduction groups did with media in Latin America to reduce birth rates; instead promote a reverence for motherhood. That has been cited as how Mongolia saw an increase in their births. Give motherhood a sense of status, of greatness, in all areas of media. Show happy families of three children, award women with large families; in other words, make it fashionable.
2) Mainstream the idea of single women in their 30s, especially those who are economically secure, of not abandoning the hope of having at least one child. If they cannot find a husband then there is always sperm donation. And many women have two parents and four grandparents still alive, thus the possibility of help with raising a child or children. If not, a system of affordable daycare must exist. After WW2, there were some regions of the USSR with hardly any men left. Stalin toyed with the idea of polygamy, as Bavaria did after the 30 Years War to avoid demographic collapse, but instead the government made it easier to find daycare and urged young women to find good-quality men, especially married men who were good to their children, to get pregnant with. Just to note, the birthrate in the USSR after the war was higher than it has been since.
Another aspect to consider is China still sees the benefits of positive eugenics. If millions of women were getting sperm donation from men who were high in intelligence as well as physical fitness, the next generation would obviously benefit. I am not encouraging a "Brave New World" means to replace the family, but it must be considered that the years of female reproductivity is quite limited. You see many women in social media express regret that they placed all other goals above family and, once they aged past 40, the option of changing their minds no longer existed. So they are left with 40 or more years to regret never having children. However, many women are starting to consider sperm donation as an option if they are in their mid-thirties and single. One can argue over the costs and benefits of single motherhood, but what is best, single women with means having sperm donation or never reproducing and becoming genetic dead-ends?
One aspect that favors China over most of Western Europe and blue-state areas of the USA is that the Chinese are proud of their history and heritage. Liberals in the west have demonized western culture so heavily in public schools, universities and media that many young people have become rather nihilistic on their origins so much that they fail to see a need to extend their genetics into the future. China could promote natalism as a means to honor the ancestors and not allowing the chain of history to be broken.
The very basis of a successful culture depends on members of that culture reproducing. If they fail to do so it will impact negatively on the economy, military as well as casting a cloud of doom as people see the impacts of erasure. And as the window if reproductive years is limited, particularly with women, policies that encourage younger marriage, making housing more affordable, and promoting alternatives for women who, close to the end of their reproductive years a chance to utilize fertility clinic options for pregnancy need to be undertaken. Unlike many other issues, once the births are on a rapid decline a society cannot reverse the downward trend, unless one believes it is possible to convince the remaining women they should have 8 children each to counter several generations of below-replacement births. That is extremely unlikely.
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